Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000734 0.000767 0.000801 0.000838 0.000877 0.000918 0.000964
2025-11-09 0.000672 0.000720 0.000772 0.000830 0.000894 0.000963 0.001043
2025-11-16 0.000625 0.000683 0.000746 0.000820 0.000904 0.000998 0.001110
2025-11-23 0.000603 0.000670 0.000744 0.000834 0.000938 0.001058 0.001208
2025-11-30 0.000579 0.000652 0.000735 0.000836 0.000958 0.001101 0.001284
2025-12-07 0.000550 0.000627 0.000715 0.000824 0.000959 0.001120 0.001331
2025-12-14 0.000524 0.000603 0.000695 0.000811 0.000956 0.001133 0.001371
2025-12-21 0.000504 0.000584 0.000680 0.000802 0.000957 0.001151 0.001415
2025-12-28 0.000472 0.000551 0.000645 0.000767 0.000924 0.001122 0.001396
2026-01-04 0.000454 0.000534 0.000630 0.000756 0.000920 0.001130 0.001427
2026-01-11 0.000441 0.000522 0.000621 0.000752 0.000924 0.001148 0.001471
2026-01-18 0.000428 0.000511 0.000611 0.000746 0.000926 0.001164 0.001512
2026-01-25 0.000420 0.000504 0.000609 0.000750 0.000942 0.001199 0.001585
2026-02-01 0.000406 0.000490 0.000596 0.000740 0.000938 0.001208 0.001619
2026-02-08 0.000393 0.000477 0.000584 0.000731 0.000935 0.001217 0.001654
2026-02-15 0.000389 0.000476 0.000587 0.000742 0.000961 0.001268 0.001755
2026-02-22 0.000382 0.000470 0.000584 0.000744 0.000973 0.001299 0.001828
2026-03-01 0.000371 0.000458 0.000572 0.000734 0.000967 0.001305 0.001859
2026-03-08 0.000360 0.000447 0.000560 0.000723 0.000960 0.001306 0.001884
2026-03-15 0.000350 0.000437 0.000551 0.000715 0.000957 0.001314 0.001920
2026-03-22 0.000333 0.000417 0.000526 0.000685 0.000920 0.001269 0.001865
2026-03-29 0.000324 0.000407 0.000516 0.000676 0.000913 0.001270 0.001887
2026-04-05 0.000318 0.000400 0.000510 0.000672 0.000915 0.001284 0.001931